Every launch carries a thread. This is what is moving in them.
Supply being fixed removes exactly one failure mode. It does not remove the creator selling, it does not remove a thin pool, and it does not remove you being the last buyer. Read the holder tab.
Everything before the curve closes is a queue. People argue about market cap on a market that has raised four SOL. Watch the raise, not the cap — the cap is just the raise with a multiplier stapled to it.
There is a real pattern in the launch data and it is not a conspiracy, it is just when people are awake. Look at the launches chart on analytics and count the humps.
Thin books are where the mispricings are. Everyone wants depth and then complains there is no edge. Pick one.
Percentage to graduation is relative. Two markets at 40% can be twenty SOL apart in absolute terms and that changes how much has to happen next.
Trade fees land at the intake. The intake is swept into the splitter. The splitter buys back and burns, and the creator share sits in escrow until the creator claims it. If a creator turned on holder routing, their share is what gets split pro-rata instead — the buyback half does not change.
The claim is a single signature from the profile menu. It is pro-rata against your balance at the time of the claim, so claiming often is not the same as claiming more.
The snipe window makes the first three seconds unplayable and the next ten minutes the most honest price discovery on the board. After that it is just whoever has the most patience.
Five percent creator fee compounds against you on every fill. On a market you are trading actively that is not a rounding error, it is the trade.
Once it is in the pool the easy asymmetry is gone. You are trading a normal token with normal spread against people who bought at a tenth of your price. The curve was the edge.
No further comment. Chart attached in spirit.
First time I sold into the close and watched it double. This time I am not doing that. Reporting back in a month either way.
Before you buy: open the explorer, check the mint authority is revoked, check the top holder is the pool and not a wallet. Thirty seconds, every time.
The bar tracks raised against the threshold. Late buys move it faster than early buys because the curve is not linear. A bar at 60% is well past 60% of the way there in time.
Curve closes, liquidity moves, LP tokens are burned. There is no vote, no announcement and no window where someone can pull it. That is the whole point of the threshold being a number and not a decision.
Votes are kept in this browser tab. Posting needs a connected wallet and is not enabled on this build.
